Pitch Radar

Lyon vs Angers: what the numbers say

Ligue 1 · Round 9 · 31 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win60%Lyon
Draw21%
Away win19%Angers
Expected points, home2.00

What to expect

Lyon are favourites: 60% to win against 19%. Attack against defence: Lyon should create more, 1.75 expected goals a match against 1.42. Read the table with care: Lyon have taken 1.8 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Lyon25119.2+1.81.991.18
Angers7577.4−0.41.671.51

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →