Pitch Radar

Monaco vs Nice: match prediction

Monaco
VS
Nice
Ligue 1 · Round 15 · 2 Jan 2027 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win42%Monaco
Draw26%
Away win32%Nice
Expected points, home1.52

What to expect

A slight edge to Monaco: 42% against 32%. Attack against defence: level, 1.45 and 1.44 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Nice have taken 5.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Monaco7101611.7+4.31.101.43
Nice6101711.7+5.31.461.79

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions