Monaco — Toulouse 2:2

Monaco

2:2

Toulouse

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.18.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Monaco	2	1.23	+0.8	1.24
Toulouse	2	1.41	+0.6	1.50

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
28'	Edan Diop	Monaco	0.13	Aleksandr Golovin
37'	Matthis Abline	Monaco	0.03	Edan Diop
47'	Casper Tengstedt (penalty)	Toulouse	0.76
58'	Sion Oppong	Toulouse	0.34	Casper Tengstedt

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
58'	Sion Oppong	Toulouse	0.34	goal
6'	Matthis Abline	Monaco	0.30	off target
28'	Edan Diop	Monaco	0.13	goal, header

Shots: Monaco 16, Toulouse 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Monaco 0.87, Toulouse 0.12: a small edge for Monaco. In the second half xG was Monaco 0.35, Toulouse 1.29: a clear edge for Toulouse. The edge in chances passed from Monaco to Toulouse.

How it fits the season

Monaco: +4.3 for the season (7 in the table). Toulouse: −5.0 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Lille — Le Havre 1:0Brest — Angers 5:1Lorient — Paris FC 1:0Paris Saint-Germain — Le Mans 3:1

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →