The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 35% home, 25% draw, 40% away. Attack against defence: Toulouse should create more, 1.72 expected goals a match against 1.44. Read the table with care: Monaco have taken 6.2 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.