Pitch Radar

AC Milan — Lecce 3:0

AC Milan
3:0
Lecce
Serie A · 20 Sep 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score3:0
Home xG2.48AC Milan
Away xG0.22Lecce
Expected points2.72 : 0.17

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: AC Milan was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
AC Milan32.48+0.52.72
Lecce00.22−0.20.17

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
13'Christian PulisicAC Milan0.29Strahinja Pavlovic
60'Adrien RabiotAC Milan0.38Gonçalo Ramos
72'Diego MoreiraAC Milan0.45

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
38'Koni de WinterAC Milan0.65off target, header, from a corner
72'Diego MoreiraAC Milan0.45goal
60'Adrien RabiotAC Milan0.38goal

Shots: AC Milan 10, Lecce 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was AC Milan 1.19, Lecce 0.10: a clear edge for AC Milan. In the second half xG was AC Milan 1.28, Lecce 0.13: a clear edge for AC Milan. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

AC Milan: +5.8 for the season (4 in the table). Lecce: +1.1 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All Serie A matches with xG →