Parma — Genoa 2:1

Parma

2:1

Genoa

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Parma was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Parma	2	0.86	+1.1	1.33
Genoa	1	0.86	+0.1	1.33

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
37'	David Romero	Parma	0.07	El Bilal Touré
69'	Milutin Osmajic	Genoa	0.46	Lorenzo Colombo
79'	Pontus Almqvist	Parma	0.41	Nesta Elphege

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
69'	Milutin Osmajic	Genoa	0.46	goal
79'	Pontus Almqvist	Parma	0.41	goal
42'	El Bilal Touré	Parma	0.29	off target, header

Shots: Parma 5, Genoa 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Parma 0.36, Genoa 0.18: about even. In the second half xG was Parma 0.50, Genoa 0.69: about even. Parma scored 2 from 0.86 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Parma: +0.8 for the season (16 in the table). Genoa: +0.7 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Fiorentina — Napoli 1:1Frosinone — Como 2:0Juventus — Atalanta 2:0AC Milan — Lecce 3:0

All Serie A matches with xG →