Fiorentina
NapoliThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Napoli created more (2.13 xG against 1.06) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.06 | −0.1 | 0.74 | |
| 1 | 2.13 | −1.1 | 2.06 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22' | Billy Gilmour | 0.05 | Matteo Politano | |
| 50' | Alejandro Jiménez | 0.02 | Cher Ndour |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21' | Mathías Olivera | 0.62 | saved | |
| 78' | Costantino Favasuli | 0.52 | saved, header | |
| 93' | Beto | 0.35 | off target |
Shots: Fiorentina 17, Napoli 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 4.
In the first half xG was Fiorentina 0.26, Napoli 1.24: a clear edge for Napoli. In the second half xG was Fiorentina 0.80, Napoli 0.95: about even. Napoli scored 1 from 2.13 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Fiorentina: −5.4 for the season (15 in the table). Napoli: −7.2 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.