Pitch Radar

Cagliari vs Frosinone: match prediction

Serie A · Round 11 · 7 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win40%Cagliari
Draw20%
Away win40%Frosinone
Expected points, home1.40

What to expect

No clear favourite: 40% home, 20% draw, 40% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.89 and 2.01 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Frosinone have taken 6.7 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Cagliari109138.8+4.21.302.07
Frosinone691710.3+6.71.952.47

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions