Atalanta — Frosinone 4:4

Atalanta

4:4

Frosinone

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Atalanta created more (4.32 xG against 1.51) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Atalanta	4	4.32	−0.3	2.58
Frosinone	4	1.51	+2.5	0.33

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
0'	Romano Schmid	Frosinone	0.40
13'	Nikola Krstovic	Atalanta	0.76	Charles De Ketelaere
16'	Romano Schmid	Frosinone	0.10	Farès Ghedjemis
32'	Éderson (penalty)	Atalanta	0.76
44'	Nikola Krstovic	Atalanta	0.12	Davide Zappacosta
47'	Giacomo Calo	Frosinone	0.05	Farès Ghedjemis
49'	Eljif Elmas	Atalanta	0.58	Nikola Krstovic
81'	Aleksa Terzic	Frosinone	0.07	Farès Ghedjemis

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
13'	Nikola Krstovic	Atalanta	0.76	goal
41'	Éderson	Atalanta	0.63	off target, from a corner
49'	Eljif Elmas	Atalanta	0.58	goal

Shots: Atalanta 22, Frosinone 24; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 5 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Atalanta 3.29, Frosinone 0.76: a big edge for Atalanta. In the second half xG was Atalanta 1.05, Frosinone 0.78: about even. Frosinone scored 4 from 1.51 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Atalanta: +1.2 for the season (12 in the table). Frosinone: +5.2 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Inter — Fiorentina 2:1Genoa — Venezia 1:0Lecce — Juventus 0:2Udinese — AC Milan 0:2

All Serie A matches with xG →