Cagliari — Juventus 1:1

Cagliari

1:1

Juventus

Serie A · 11 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score1:1

Home xG0.81Cagliari

Away xG2.38Juventus

Expected points0.50 : 2.34

Who deserved it

A draw, but Juventus created more (2.38 xG against 0.81) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Cagliari	1	0.81	+0.2	0.50
Juventus	1	2.38	−1.4	2.34

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
19'	Daniel Maldini	Cagliari	0.72	Paul Mendy
80'	Randal Kolo Muani	Juventus	0.52	Kerim-Sam Alajbegovic

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
19'	Daniel Maldini	Cagliari	0.72	goal
84'	Nick Woltemade	Juventus	0.67	saved, header, from a set piece
80'	Randal Kolo Muani	Juventus	0.52	goal, header

Shots: Cagliari 4, Juventus 22; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Cagliari 0.79, Juventus 0.17: a small edge for Cagliari. In the second half xG was Cagliari 0.02, Juventus 2.21: a big edge for Juventus. The edge in chances passed from Cagliari to Juventus. Juventus scored 1 from 2.38 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.