Lecce — Bologna 1:2

Lecce

1:2

Bologna

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Bologna was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lecce	1	1.21	−0.2	0.90
Bologna	2	2.00	+0.0	1.89

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
16'	Riccardo Orsolini	Bologna	0.05	Nicolò Cambiaghi
63'	Amar Ahmed Fatah	Lecce	0.10	Danilo Veiga
74'	Jay Enem	Bologna	0.69	Nicolò Cambiaghi

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
61'	Tommaso Pobega	Bologna	0.74	off target, from a corner
74'	Jay Enem	Bologna	0.69	goal
86'	Willem Geubbels	Lecce	0.38	off target, header

Shots: Lecce 19, Bologna 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lecce 0.05, Bologna 0.39: a small edge for Bologna. In the second half xG was Lecce 1.16, Bologna 1.61: a small edge for Bologna. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Lecce: +1.1 for the season (14 in the table). Bologna: −2.1 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Como — Roma 0:0Lazio — Monza 3:1Sassuolo — AC Milan 1:1Cagliari — Juventus 1:1

All Serie A matches with xG →