Lazio — Monza 3:1

Lazio

3:1

Monza

Serie A · 11 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score3:1

Home xG2.22Lazio

Away xG1.30Monza

Expected points1.95 : 0.85

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Lazio was the better side by chances too.

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lazio	3	2.22	+0.8	1.95
Monza	1	1.30	−0.3	0.85

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
2'	Nuno Tavares	Lazio	0.01	Tijjani Noslin
22'	Gustav Isaksen	Lazio	0.09	Tijjani Noslin
45'	Saba Goglichidze	Monza	0.49	Dany Mota
87'	Andrea Pinamonti	Lazio	0.65	Alfonso

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
87'	Andrea Pinamonti	Lazio	0.65	goal
45'	Saba Goglichidze	Monza	0.49	goal, header, from a corner
89'	Gustav Isaksen	Lazio	0.44	off target, header

Shots: Lazio 17, Monza 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 1.

In the first half xG was Lazio 0.64, Monza 0.81: about even. In the second half xG was Lazio 1.58, Monza 0.54: a clear edge for Lazio.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

Lazio: +11.0 for the season (1 in the table). Monza: −6.2 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.