Pitch Radar

Como vs Roma: what the numbers say

Serie A · Round 6 · 11 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win24%Como
Draw18%
Away win58%Roma
Expected points, home0.89

What to expect

Roma are favourites: 58% to win against 24%. Attack against defence: Roma should create more, 2.40 expected goals a match against 1.71.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Como85109.1+0.92.311.58
Roma151312.4+0.63.221.11

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table →