Pitch Radar

Inter vs Como: what the numbers say

Serie A · Round 11 · 8 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win69%Inter
Draw15%
Away win16%Como
Expected points, home2.22

What to expect

Inter are favourites: 69% to win against 16%. Attack against defence: Inter should create more, 2.33 expected goals a match against 1.81. Read the table with care: Inter have taken 2.1 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Inter161613.9+2.13.081.31
Como85109.1+0.92.311.58

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table →