Lazio — Cagliari 2:1

Lazio

2:1

Cagliari

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Cagliari created more (1.40 xG against 1.17) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lazio	2	1.17	+0.8	1.21
Cagliari	1	1.40	−0.4	1.53

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
19'	M'Bala Nzola	Cagliari	0.77	Alieu Fadera
35'	Gustav Isaksen	Lazio	0.06	Tijjani Noslin
82'	Andrea Pinamonti	Lazio	0.53	Alfonso

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
19'	M'Bala Nzola	Cagliari	0.77	goal
82'	Andrea Pinamonti	Lazio	0.53	goal, header
46'	Zé Pedro	Cagliari	0.43	off target, from a corner

Shots: Lazio 11, Cagliari 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lazio 0.33, Cagliari 0.87: a small edge for Cagliari. In the second half xG was Lazio 0.84, Cagliari 0.53: a small edge for Lazio. The edge in chances passed from Cagliari to Lazio.

How it fits the season

Lazio: +11.0 for the season (1 in the table). Cagliari: +5.0 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Como — Venezia 1:0Frosinone — Torino 2:0Lecce — Genoa 1:2Juventus — Napoli 2:0

All Serie A matches with xG →