Pitch Radar

Lecce — Genoa 1:2

Lecce
1:2
Genoa
Serie A · 1 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score1:2
Home xG1.42Lecce
Away xG2.02Genoa
Expected points1.03 : 1.76

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Genoa was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Lecce11.42−0.41.03
Genoa22.02−0.01.76

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
10'Milutin OsmajicGenoa0.47Junior Messias
27'Junior MessiasGenoa0.24Stephan El Shaarawy
39'Youssef MalehLecce0.08

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
19'Stephan El ShaarawyGenoa0.56off target
46'Nikola StulicLecce0.55saved
10'Milutin OsmajicGenoa0.47goal

Shots: Lecce 18, Genoa 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lecce 0.34, Genoa 1.39: a clear edge for Genoa. In the second half xG was Lecce 1.08, Genoa 0.63: a small edge for Lecce. The edge in chances passed from Genoa to Lecce.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Lecce: +1.1 for the season (14 in the table). Genoa: +0.7 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All Serie A matches with xG →