Pitch Radar

Frosinone vs Torino: what the numbers say

Serie A · Round 10 · 1 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win49%Frosinone
Draw24%
Away win27%Torino
Expected points, home1.70

What to expect

A slight edge to Frosinone: 49% against 27%. Attack against defence: level, 1.58 and 1.60 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Frosinone have taken 4.8 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Frosinone65105.2+4.81.622.20
Torino14545.0−1.01.011.54

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table →