Lazio vs Roma: match prediction

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

A slight edge to Roma: 47% against 32%. Attack against defence: Roma should create more, 2.10 expected goals a match against 1.60. Read the table with care: Lazio have taken 11.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions