Torino vs Cagliari: match prediction
TorinoVS
CagliariThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win54%Torino
Draw25%
Away win21%Cagliari
Expected points, home1.87
What to expect
A slight edge to Torino: 54% against 21%. Attack against defence: Torino should create more, 1.61 expected goals a match against 1.31. Read the table with care: Cagliari have taken 5.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
Recent matches
Torino — 
Lecce 1:1
Frosinone — Torino 2:0Torino — 
Como 1:3Torino — 
Monza 3:2
Parma Calcio 1913 — Torino 0:3Cagliari — Frosinone 1:0
Lazio — Cagliari 2:1
Roma — Cagliari 4:2Cagliari — 
Bologna 0:2Monza — Cagliari 4:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions