The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Lazio: 46% against 28%. Attack against defence: Lazio should create more, 1.71 expected goals a match against 1.29. Read the table with care: Lazio have taken 8.6 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions