The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe — Celta Vigo | 1:1 | 1.46 : 1.42 | even by chances |
| Elche — Real Sociedad | 2:3 | 2.87 : 0.88 | got lucky |
| Sevilla — Valencia | 1:0 | 1.36 : 0.08 | deserved |
| Racing Santander — Alavés | 2:1 | 1.38 : 2.27 | got lucky |
| Osasuna — Espanyol | 0:2 | 1.10 : 1.41 | even by chances |
| Athletic Club — Elche | 1:1 | 3.13 : 0.82 | dropped points |
| Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano | 4:1 | 3.12 : 1.19 | deserved |
| Levante — Barcelona | 2:4 | 2.67 : 2.47 | even by chances |
| Getafe — Deportivo La Coruña | 1:1 | 0.99 : 0.94 | even by chances |
| Villarreal — Real Betis | 1:2 | 1.67 : 4.07 | deserved |
Real Betis — 4.07 xG. Opponent: Villarreal. Result: a win.
Elche: 2.87 xG against the opponent's 0.88. Result: a defeat.