The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo | 0:0 | 1.02 : 0.63 | even by chances |
| Real Betis — Real Madrid | 1:0 | 0.89 : 3.38 | got lucky |
| Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid | 3:0 | 1.87 : 0.75 | deserved |
| Rayo Vallecano — Racing Santander | 3:2 | 1.19 : 0.63 | deserved |
| Villarreal — Deportivo La Coruña | 2:3 | 3.64 : 2.44 | got lucky |
| Valencia — Barcelona | 0:5 | 0.52 : 4.77 | deserved |
| Málaga — Levante | 0:0 | 1.73 : 1.19 | dropped points |
| Alavés — Osasuna | 5:2 | 1.60 : 1.64 | even by chances |
| Espanyol — Sevilla | 1:1 | 1.82 : 0.37 | dropped points |
Barcelona — 4.77 xG. Opponent: Valencia. Result: a win.
Real Madrid: 3.38 xG against the opponent's 0.89. Result: a defeat.