The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse — Lille | 0:1 | 2.97 : 1.04 | got lucky |
| Lyon — Auxerre | 3:1 | 2.88 : 0.91 | deserved |
| Paris Saint-Germain — Monaco | 1:2 | 2.52 : 0.60 | got lucky |
| Lens — Lorient | 0:1 | 1.10 : 1.03 | even by chances |
| Nice — Le Mans | 1:1 | 1.25 : 1.18 | even by chances |
| Le Havre — Brest | 1:2 | 1.61 : 3.01 | deserved |
| Troyes — Strasbourg | 2:6 | 2.65 : 3.52 | deserved |
| Angers — Rennes | 1:2 | 1.87 : 2.37 | deserved |
| Marseille — Paris FC | 2:3 | 1.72 : 3.38 | deserved |
Strasbourg — 3.52 xG. Opponent: Troyes. Result: a win.
Toulouse: 2.97 xG against the opponent's 1.04. Result: a defeat.