The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter — Monza | 4:1 | 1.54 : 1.22 | even by chances |
| Udinese — Como | 1:1 | 2.12 : 2.39 | even by chances |
| Parma — Cagliari | 0:1 | 1.03 : 1.26 | even by chances |
| Genoa — Napoli | 0:2 | 0.50 : 1.16 | deserved |
| Frosinone — Juventus | 0:1 | 0.37 : 2.62 | deserved |
| Venezia — Lecce | 0:2 | 3.19 : 2.45 | got lucky |
| Torino — AC Milan | 1:2 | 1.13 : 1.74 | deserved |
| Atalanta — Sassuolo | 2:1 | 0.92 : 2.70 | got lucky |
| Bologna — Lazio | 0:1 | 2.06 : 0.81 | got lucky |
| Roma — Fiorentina | 4:0 | 3.78 : 0.29 | deserved |
Roma — 3.78 xG. Opponent: Fiorentina. Result: a win.
Sassuolo: 2.70 xG against the opponent's 0.92. Result: a defeat.