The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan — Venezia | 2:0 | 3.22 : 0.52 | deserved |
| Monza — Udinese | 2:3 | 1.90 : 1.02 | got lucky |
| Sassuolo — Torino | 2:1 | 1.55 : 1.50 | even by chances |
| Fiorentina — Frosinone | 0:3 | 1.82 : 1.95 | even by chances |
| Juventus — Parma | 2:0 | 1.82 : 0.20 | deserved |
| Napoli — Como | 1:2 | 1.03 : 1.10 | even by chances |
| Cagliari — Inter | 0:1 | 0.32 : 3.97 | deserved |
| Lazio — Genoa | 1:0 | 2.11 : 0.74 | deserved |
| Lecce — Roma | 0:4 | 1.20 : 4.14 | deserved |
| Atalanta — Bologna | 1:0 | 0.18 : 1.24 | got lucky |
Roma — 4.14 xG. Opponent: Lecce. Result: a win.
Bologna: 1.24 xG against the opponent's 0.18. Result: a defeat.