The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bayern Munich | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 6 |
| Points | 10 | 7 |
| xPTS | 11 | 8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.0 | −1.0 |
| xG per match | 3.33 | 2.63 |
| xGA per match | 0.75 | 1.55 |
| Scored | 14 | 10 |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 |
By quality of play Bayern Munich is ahead: 11.0 xPTS against 8.0. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Bayern Munich: −1.0, Mainz 05: −1.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bayern Munich — 11.1, Mainz 05 — 8.5.