The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 8 | 7 |
| xPTS | 7.3 | 9.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.7 | −2.3 |
| xG per match | 2.02 | 2.54 |
| xGA per match | 2.44 | 1.7 |
| Scored | 10 | 13 |
| Conceded | 16 | 10 |
By quality of play Mainz 05 is ahead: 9.3 xPTS against 7.3. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Eintracht Frankfurt: +0.7, Mainz 05: −2.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Eintracht Frankfurt — 6.8, Mainz 05 — 9.3.