The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bayer Leverkusen | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 11.1 | 10.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.1 | −1.5 |
| xG per match | 2.55 | 2.7 |
| xGA per match | 1.12 | 1.42 |
| Scored | 14 | 15 |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 |
By quality of play they are level: 11.1 xPTS against 10.5. The gap between points and play — Bayer Leverkusen: −1.1, RB Leipzig: −1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bayer Leverkusen — 11.0, RB Leipzig — 10.6.