The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Augsburg | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 6 | 7 |
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPTS | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.1 | +3.1 |
| xG per match | 2.1 | 1.23 |
| xGA per match | 2.62 | 1.79 |
| Scored | 13 | 10 |
| Conceded | 8 | 10 |
By quality of play they are level: 4.9 xPTS against 4.9. The gap between points and play — Augsburg: +3.1, Werder Bremen: +3.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Augsburg — 5.7, Werder Bremen — 6.3.