The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Elversberg | 1. FC Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 7 | 7 |
| xPTS | 3.9 | 7.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.1 | −0.5 |
| xG per match | 1.31 | 2.1 |
| xGA per match | 2.21 | 1.95 |
| Scored | 8 | 8 |
| Conceded | 8 | 10 |
By quality of play 1. FC Köln is ahead: 7.5 xPTS against 3.9. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Elversberg: +3.1, 1. FC Köln: −0.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Elversberg — 3.0, 1. FC Köln — 6.9.