The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Schalke 04 | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 11 | 12 |
| Points | 5 | 4 |
| xPTS | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.7 | +1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.65 | 0.77 |
| xGA per match | 2.58 | 1.89 |
| Scored | 3 | 3 |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
By quality of play Schalke 04 is ahead: 4.3 xPTS against 2.9. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Schalke 04: +0.7, Paderborn: +1.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Schalke 04 — 2.8, Paderborn — 4.9.