The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Union Berlin | Borussia Mönchengladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 17 | 18 |
| Points | 1 | 0 |
| xPTS | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.2 | −2.8 |
| xG per match | 1.23 | 1.87 |
| xGA per match | 3.21 | 3.1 |
| Scored | 4 | 6 |
| Conceded | 17 | 16 |
By quality of play they are level: 2.2 xPTS against 2.8. The gap between points and play — Union Berlin: −1.2, Borussia Mönchengladbach: −2.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Union Berlin — 2.3, Borussia Mönchengladbach — 6.0.