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Borussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga · Germany · season 2026/27 · 9 matches · 1W 1D 7L
Place18 of 18
Points4
xPTS9.3
Δ points − xPTS−5.3
Scored / xG12 / 15.7
Conceded / xGA25 / 21.3

Next match

Borussia Mönchengladbach
VS
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund · at home, 21 Nov 2026
Win 26% · draw 21% · defeat 52%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

Borussia Dortmund 26%Werder Bremen 21%Bayer Leverkusen 15%

What the numbers say

Points. 4 points from 9.3 xPTS (−5.3) — the biggest underperformance in the league. By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 14th in the league, but 18th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−3.7 goals vs xG) and extra goals conceded (+3.8 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.75 xG per match — 12th of 18 (league average 1.85): an average attack for this league. Scored 12 goals from 15.7 xG — 24% fewer than expected. Finishing is clearly below par — the chances are the same, so the goals will probably follow.

Defence. 2.36 xGA per match — 16th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.85): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 25 goals from 21.3 xGA — 18% more than expected — the biggest overshoot of conceded goals in the league. The gap is small and usually closes over a season.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.59 points per match: expected pace 1.0 points per match vs the current 0.4.

9 matches played. Over this distance the metrics already show a trend, but randomness is still large — treat this as an early signal, not a verdict.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

059 1 9 round 1: 0:3, Points 0, xPTS 0.2round 2: 3:4, Points 0, xPTS 1.5round 3: 0:5, Points 0, xPTS 1.6round 4: 3:4, Points 0, xPTS 2.8round 5: 1:2, Points 0, xPTS 3.8round 6: 1:2, Points 0, xPTS 4.2round 7: 3:2, Points 3, xPTS 6.0round 8: 0:0, Points 4, xPTS 7.9round 9: 1:3, Points 4, xPTS 9.3
Points 4 xPTS 9.3 performance is 5.3 ahead of points

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.44 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.09. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.4 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

OpponentVenueDateWinDrawDefeatExpected points
Borussia Dortmundhome2026-11-2126%21%52%1.00
Werder Bremenaway2026-11-2721%20%59%0.84
Bayer Leverkusenaway2026-12-0515%15%70%0.59
Eintracht Frankfurthome2026-12-1244%19%36%1.52
Schalke 04away2026-12-1943%22%36%1.49

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Borussia Mönchengladbach and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

RB Leipzig 0:3 · awayElversberg 3:4 Freiburg 0:5 · awayMainz 05 3:4 1. FC Köln 1:2 · awayHoffenheim 1:2 VfB Stuttgart 3:2 · awayPaderborn 0:0 Hamburger SV 1:3 · awayBorussia Dortmund · 11.21Werder Bremen · 11.27Bayer Leverkusen · 12.05Eintracht Frankfurt · 12.12Schalke 04 · 12.19

Club players

Shuto MachinoWael MohyaHugo BolinJoe Scally

Around them in the table

PlaceClubPPointsxPTSΔ
16Union Berlin977.2−0.2
17Schalke 04967.6−1.6
18Borussia Mönchengladbach949.3−5.3

Full Bundesliga xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league

Bayern MunichBorussia DortmundFreiburgRB LeipzigBayer LeverkusenWerder BremenElversbergVfB StuttgartHoffenheimEintracht FrankfurtHamburger SVMainz 05PaderbornAugsburg1. FC KölnUnion BerlinSchalke 04