Points. 0 points from 1.6 xPTS (−1.6). By quality of play (xPTS) the club sits exactly where it is in the table: 17th. A small shortfall, still within the margin of error. Source: missed chances (−1.4 goals vs xG) and extra goals conceded (+3.0 vs xGA).
Attack. 1.46 xG per match — 14th of 18 (league average 1.98): the attack creates less than most rivals. Only 3 goals scored from 4.4 xG (−1.4): the chances are there, the finishing is not. If the chance quality holds, the goals will come.
Defence. 2.98 xGA per match — 15th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.98). Conceded 12 goals from 8.9 xGA — 3.0 more than expected: opponents are scoring almost everything and the goalkeeper is not helping. But plenty of chances are allowed too — it is not just bad luck.
Playing to its level. Points (0) are close to the quality of play (1.6 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 0.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 0.82. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 4.1 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 | home | 2026-09-19 | 0.32 |
| 1. FC Köln | away | 2026-10-10 | 0.41 |
| Hoffenheim | home | 2026-10-17 | 0.82 |
| VfB Stuttgart | away | 2026-10-24 | 0.60 |
| Paderborn | home | 2026-10-31 | 1.97 |