The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Leeds United | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 9 | 9 |
| xPTS | 7.3 | 7.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.8 | +1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.45 | 1.65 |
| xGA per match | 1.28 | 1.39 |
| Scored | 7 | 7 |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
By quality of play they are level: 7.3 xPTS against 7.9. The gap between points and play — Leeds United: +1.8, Liverpool: +1.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Leeds United — 6.5, Liverpool — 6.6.