The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Brighton | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 4 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 9.2 | 8.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.8 | +0.6 |
| xG per match | 2.58 | 2.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.73 | 1.5 |
| Scored | 16 | 10 |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
By quality of play they are level: 9.2 xPTS against 8.4. The gap between points and play — Brighton: +0.8, Brentford: +0.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Brighton — 8.1, Brentford — 8.2.