The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Liverpool | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 6 | 7 |
| Points | 9 | 9 |
| xPTS | 7.9 | 7.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.1 | +1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| xGA per match | 1.39 | 1.44 |
| Scored | 7 | 6 |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 |
By quality of play they are level: 7.9 xPTS against 7.6. The gap between points and play — Liverpool: +1.1, Everton: +1.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Liverpool — 6.6, Everton — 8.2.