The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Hull City | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPTS | 5.5 | 4.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.5 | +3.7 |
| xG per match | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| xGA per match | 1.44 | 1.87 |
| Scored | 6 | 9 |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 |
By quality of play Hull City is ahead: 5.5 xPTS against 4.3. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Hull City: +2.5, Newcastle United: +3.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Hull City — 5.8, Newcastle United — 5.8.