The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Newcastle United | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 8 | 7 |
| xPTS | 4.3 | 6.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.7 | +0.9 |
| xG per match | 1.11 | 1.79 |
| xGA per match | 1.87 | 2.06 |
| Scored | 9 | 10 |
| Conceded | 9 | 12 |
By quality of play Chelsea is ahead: 6.1 xPTS against 4.3. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Newcastle United: +3.7, Chelsea: +0.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Newcastle United — 5.8, Chelsea — 6.0.