The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Everton | Hull City | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 7 | 8 |
| Points | 9 | 8 |
| xPTS | 7.6 | 5.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.4 | +2.5 |
| xG per match | 1.67 | 1.15 |
| xGA per match | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Scored | 6 | 6 |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
By quality of play Everton is ahead: 7.6 xPTS against 5.5. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Everton: +1.4, Hull City: +2.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Everton — 8.2, Hull City — 5.8.