The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Brentford | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 9 | 9 |
| xPTS | 8.4 | 7.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.6 | +1.8 |
| xG per match | 2.1 | 1.45 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.28 |
| Scored | 10 | 7 |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 |
By quality of play Brentford is ahead: 8.4 xPTS against 7.3. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Brentford: +0.6, Leeds United: +1.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Brentford — 8.2, Leeds United — 6.5.