The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Liverpool | Ipswich Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 9 | 9 |
| xPTS | 8.6 | 6.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.4 | +2.3 |
| xG per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.42 | 2.02 |
| Scored | 7 | 9 |
| Conceded | 7 | 12 |
By quality of play Liverpool is ahead: 8.6 xPTS against 6.7. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Liverpool: +0.4, Ipswich Town: +2.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Liverpool — 6.3, Ipswich Town — 4.4.