The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Ipswich Town | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 10 | 11 |
| Points | 9 | 8 |
| xPTS | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.3 | +3.7 |
| xG per match | 1.4 | 1.11 |
| xGA per match | 2.02 | 1.87 |
| Scored | 9 | 9 |
| Conceded | 12 | 9 |
By quality of play Ipswich Town is ahead: 6.7 xPTS against 4.3. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Ipswich Town: +2.3, Newcastle United: +3.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Ipswich Town — 4.4, Newcastle United — 5.5.