The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Brentford | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 10 | 10 |
| xPTS | 9.4 | 9.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.6 | +0.1 |
| xG per match | 1.97 | 1.86 |
| xGA per match | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| Scored | 12 | 8 |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 |
By quality of play they are level: 9.4 xPTS against 9.9. The gap between points and play — Brentford: +0.6, Everton: +0.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Brentford — 7.4, Everton — 8.2.