The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Chelsea | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 7.2 | 7.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.8 | +1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.72 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 2 | 1.46 |
| Scored | 15 | 8 |
| Conceded | 13 | 5 |
By quality of play they are level: 7.2 xPTS against 7.9. The gap between points and play — Chelsea: +2.8, Leeds United: +1.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Chelsea — 6.3, Leeds United — 6.5.