The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Alavés | Celta Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 7 | 8 |
| Points | 11 | 11 |
| xPTS | 13.9 | 10.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.9 | +0.3 |
| xG per match | 1.43 | 0.98 |
| xGA per match | 1.15 | 1.23 |
| Scored | 13 | 10 |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 |
By quality of play Alavés is ahead: 13.9 xPTS against 10.7. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Alavés: −2.9, Celta Vigo: +0.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Alavés — 6.5, Celta Vigo — 5.7.