The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Athletic Club | Celta Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 12 | 12 |
| xPTS | 15.3 | 11.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.3 | +0.2 |
| xG per match | 1.58 | 0.96 |
| xGA per match | 1.35 | 1.22 |
| Scored | 12 | 10 |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 |
By quality of play Athletic Club is ahead: 15.3 xPTS against 11.8. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Athletic Club: −3.3, Celta Vigo: +0.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Athletic Club — 8.8, Celta Vigo — 4.5.