The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Elche | Málaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 18 | 19 |
| Points | 5 | 4 |
| xPTS | 7.5 | 6.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.5 | −2.1 |
| xG per match | 1.4 | 0.79 |
| xGA per match | 2.24 | 1.92 |
| Scored | 11 | 4 |
| Conceded | 17 | 13 |
By quality of play Elche is ahead: 7.5 xPTS against 6.1. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Elche: −2.5, Málaga: −2.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Elche — 5.6, Málaga — 3.9.