The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Espanyol | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 11 | 12 |
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPTS | 11.6 | 7.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.6 | +0.3 |
| xG per match | 1.35 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.36 | 1.86 |
| Scored | 11 | 11 |
| Conceded | 11 | 16 |
By quality of play Espanyol is ahead: 11.6 xPTS against 7.7. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Espanyol: −3.6, Rayo Vallecano: +0.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Espanyol — 6.0, Rayo Vallecano — 6.7.