The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Rayo Vallecano | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPTS | 7.7 | 6.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.3 | +1.2 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 0.81 |
| xGA per match | 1.86 | 1.71 |
| Scored | 11 | 4 |
| Conceded | 16 | 10 |
By quality of play they are level: 7.7 xPTS against 6.8. The gap between points and play — Rayo Vallecano: +0.3, Getafe: +1.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Rayo Vallecano — 6.7, Getafe — 3.7.