The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Brest | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 11 | 12 |
| Points | 5 | 5 |
| xPTS | 9.8 | 6.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −4.8 | −1.4 |
| xG per match | 2.17 | 1.16 |
| xGA per match | 1.16 | 1.23 |
| Scored | 7 | 5 |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 |
By quality of play Brest is ahead: 9.8 xPTS against 6.4. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Brest: −4.8, Lorient: −1.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Brest — 10.1, Lorient — 5.8.