The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lille | Paris Saint-Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 6 |
| Points | 10 | 8 |
| xPTS | 6.1 | 9.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.9 | −1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.48 | 2.19 |
| xGA per match | 1.78 | 1.16 |
| Scored | 8 | 6 |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
By quality of play Paris Saint-Germain is ahead: 9.7 xPTS against 6.1. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Lille: +3.9, Paris Saint-Germain: −1.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lille — 5.7, Paris Saint-Germain — 11.2.